International Friendly

Jun 2, 2022 at 11am UK

Sapporo Dome

Japan
4 - 1
Paraguay

Asano (36'), Kamada (42'), Mitoma (60'), Tanaka (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (59')
Alderete (44'), Gonzalez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Japan and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	5	7
2	Chile	3	4	6
3	Japan	3	-4	2
4	Ecuador	3	-5	1

Paraguay

Last Six:

Last Game: South Korea 0-2 Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mexico vs. Paraguay
Thursday, September 1 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Paraguay
55.82% ( 0.03)	24.62% ( 0.01)	19.57% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

-0.08)

54.61% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05% (

-0.06)

75.95% (

0.06)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

-0.02)

19.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64% (

-0.03)

51.36% (

0.03)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.5% (

-0.09)

42.5% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13% (

-0.07)

78.87% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Japan 55.81%

Paraguay 19.57%

Draw 24.62%

Japan	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.81%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.57%