Japan vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.