MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 03:52:48| >> :60:3571:3571:
Japan national football team
International Friendly
Jun 2, 2022 at 11am UK
Sapporo Dome
Paraguay national football team

Japan
4 - 1
Paraguay

Asano (36'), Kamada (42'), Mitoma (60'), Tanaka (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (59')
Alderete (44'), Gonzalez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Japan and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay357
2Chile346
3Japan3-42
4Ecuador3-51

Paraguay

Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 0-2 Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Paraguay
Thursday, September 1 at 2am in International Friendlies

We said: Japan 3-1 Paraguay

 Japan boast the stronger of the two squads currently, and, coming in with far more momentum and confidence than their opponents thanks to recent results, we back them to triumph on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawParaguay
55.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 19.57% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.29% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)54.61% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)75.95% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)19.49% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)42.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)78.87% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Japan 55.81%
    Paraguay 19.57%
    Draw 24.62%
JapanDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 55.81%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: Japan vs Paraguay

Japan
83.8%
Draw
7.4%
Paraguay
8.8%
68
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2019 11.20am
Japan
2-0
Paraguay
Osako (23'), Minamino (30')
Hashimoto (94')

Sanabria (45'), Samu (53')
Jun 12, 2018 2.05pm
Japan
4-2
Paraguay
Inui (51', 63'), Santander (77' og.), Kagawa (90')
Romero (32'), Ortiz (90')
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