World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gianluca Lapadula 5' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 28' yellowcard
  • Yoshimar Yotun 42' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Rojas 45'
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 55'

Peru vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
Uruguay 1 - 0 Peru

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
Paraguay 3 - 1 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result

Peru 34.24%
Draw 30.77%
Paraguay 35%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.16%

Goals

Over 2.5 32.57%
Under 2.5 67.43%
Over 3.5 14.45%
Under 3.5 85.55%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 63.11%
Under 0.5 36.89%
Over 1.5 26.32%
Under 1.5 73.68%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 63.64%
Under 0.5 36.36%
Over 1.5 26.85%
Under 1.5 73.15%

Score analysis

Peru 34.23%
Draw 30.76%
Paraguay 35%
Peru
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 34.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53%
0-0 @ 13.41%
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.76%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 13.57%
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 35%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jul 2, 2021 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
ET
  • Anderson Santamaria 15' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 21' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 40' goal
  • Christian Cueva 60' yellowcard
  • Andre Carrillo 75' yellowcard
  • Yoshimar Yotun 80' goal
  • Andre Carrillo 85' redcard
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 11'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 42'
  • redcard Gustavo Gomez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 49'
  • goal Junior Alonso 54'
  • yellowcard Alberto Espinola 87'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andres Cubas 35' yellowcard
  • Alberto Espinola Gimenez 43' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 66' goal
  • Angel Romero 81' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 18'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 52'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 85'
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Christian Cueva 4' goal
  • Renato Tapia 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 64' yellowcard
Copa America
Jul 4, 2015 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepcion
  • Andre Carillo 48' goal
  • Victor Yotun 85' yellowcard
  • Joel Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • Paolo Guerrero 89' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Samudio 38'