Just one point above sixth-place Columbia, Peru need maximum points to keep their World Cup qualification dreams alive. Next up is a floundering opposing side who have managed just one win in their last eight games. We predict Peru will take full advantage of their home crowd support and come away with all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.
