World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Peru
2 - 0
Paraguay

Lapadula (5'), Yotun (42')
Lapadula (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rojas (45'), Ortiz (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Paraguay

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies

Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Paraguay
34.24%	30.77%	35%

Both teams to score 40.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.57%

67.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.45%

85.55%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11%

36.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32%

73.68%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64%

36.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85%

73.15%

Score Analysis

Peru 34.23%

Paraguay 35%

Draw 30.76%

Peru	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.85% Total : 34.23%	1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.76%	0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.94% Total : 35%