Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.