International Friendly

Jun 6, 2022 at 11.20am UK

Japan
0 - 1
Brazil

Endo (40'), Kamada (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neymar (77' pen.)
Raphinha (35'), Neymar (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's International Friendlies clash between Japan and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	5	7
2	Chile	3	4	6
3	Japan	3	-4	2
4	Ecuador	3	-5	1

Brazil

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result
Japan	Draw	Brazil
30.13% ( 0.04)	24.82% ( -0.03)	45.05% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.35% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

0.14)

46.62% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

0.14)

68.89% (

-0.13)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

0.1)

28.9% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

0.12)

64.78% (

-0.12)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.06)

20.75% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.09)

53.38% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Japan 30.13%

Brazil 45.05%

Draw 24.81%

Japan	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.13%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.05%