World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lucas Paqueta 22' yellowcard
  • Neymar 44' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 45'+1' goal
  • Casemiro 60' yellowcard
  • Neymar 62' yellowcard
  • Philippe Coutinho 72' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 72' yellowcard
  • Richarlison 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Diaz 62'
  • yellowcard Claudio Bravo 69'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 72'

Brazil vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 2, 2022 12.30am
Brazil 4 - 0 Paraguay

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 8.30pm
Bolivia 2 - 3 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chile had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result

Brazil 65.12%
Draw 22.04%
Chile 12.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.48%
Under 2.5 55.52%
Over 3.5 23.3%
Under 3.5 76.7%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 83.54%
Under 0.5 16.45%
Over 1.5 53.85%
Under 1.5 46.15%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 47.85%
Under 0.5 52.15%
Over 1.5 13.9%
Under 1.5 86.1%

Score analysis

Brazil 65.12%
Draw 22.04%
Chile 12.84%
Brazil
1-0 @ 15.48%
2-0 @ 13.97%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 65.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.04%
Chile
0-1 @ 5.59%
1-2 @ 3.28%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 12.84%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 3, 2021 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ivan Andres Morales Bravo 79' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Vegas 87' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Vegas 90' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Maripan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 45'+2'
  • goal Everton Ribeiro 64'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 84'
  • yellowcard Gerson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Neymar 90'+6'
Copa America
Jul 3, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Paqueta 46' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 48' redcard
  • Ederson 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 58'
  • yellowcard Carlos Palacios 76'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 88'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 57' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 93' goal
International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium, London
  • Thiago Silva 19' yellowcard
  • Neymar 45' yellowcard
  • Miranda 63' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 71' goal
  • Elias 81' yellowcard
  • Fernandinho 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milko Albornoz 11'
  • yellowcard Mark Gonzalez 91'
World Cup
Jun 28, 2014 5.00pm
1
1
ET Estadio Mineirao, Belo Horizonte
  • David Luiz 18' goal
  • Hulk 55' yellowcard
  • Luiz Gustavo 60' yellowcard
  • Jo 94' yellowcard
  • Dani Alves 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eugenio Mena 17'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 32'
  • yellowcard Francisco Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pinilla 102'
International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2013 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rogers Centre
  • Hulk 14' goal
  • Paulinho 38' yellowcard
  • Robinho 66' yellowcard
  • Robinho 79' goal
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 30'
  • yellowcard Jean Beausejour 67'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 75'

Build-up

News
News