World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Bolivia
0 - 4
Brazil

Vaca (73'), Vaca (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Paqueta (24'), Richarlison (45', 90+1'), Guimaraes (66')

Reaction

Brazil's Richarlison celebrates scoring their fourth goal on March 29, 2022

Brazil set new South American World Cup qualifying record

Brazil break Argentina's record for the most points in a South American qualifying group ahead of the 2022 World Cup with their latest victory.

Mar 30, 10:24

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash with Bolivia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolivia 0-4 Brazil
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Brazil

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Brazil
20.41%	23.61%	55.98%

Both teams to score 50.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29%

49.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28%

71.71%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24%

38.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51%

75.49%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.85%

48.15%

Score Analysis

Bolivia 20.41%

Brazil 55.97%

Draw 23.6%

Bolivia	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.41%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 11.84% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 5.65% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.97%