CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 15, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cuscatlán
  • Alexander Larin 35' goal
  • Alexander Larin 36' goal
  • Ronald Gomez 79' redcard
  • Ronald Gomez 80' redcard
  • Mario Antonio Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reggie Cannon 45'+2'
  • redcard Paul Arriola 70'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 76'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 77'
  • goal Jordan Morris 90'+1'
  • goal Jordan Morris 90'+1'

El Salvador vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 12.00am
Grenada 2 - 2 El Salvador

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 11, 2022 3.00am
USA 5 - 0 Grenada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

El Salvador 34.28% (-0.05)
Draw 26.37% (-0.04)
USA 39.34% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.04% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 51.95% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 26.3% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.7% (-0.11)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.69% (-0.04)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 74.12% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 25.88% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 39.14% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 60.86% (-0.14)

Score analysis

El Salvador 34.28%
Draw 26.37%
USA 39.34%
El Salvador
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.37%
USA
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.07% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.34%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonee Robinson 52' goal
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 3, 2021 3.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvin Monterroza 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 66'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 68'
International Friendlies
Dec 10, 2020 12.30am
6
0
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Paul Arriola 17' goal
  • Christopher Mueller 20' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 23' goal
  • Christopher Mueller 25' goal
  • Ayomide Akinola 27' goal
  • Brenden Aaronson 50' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto Dominguez 61'