CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Jun 15, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Cuscatlán

El Salvador
1 - 1
USA

Larin (35', 36')
Antonio Martinez (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Morris (90+1', 90+1')
Cannon (45+2'), Adams (76'), Adams (77')
Arriola (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between El Salvador and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Peru vs. El Salvador
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Japan 2-0 USA
Friday, September 23 at 1.25pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. USA
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	USA
34.28% ( -0.05)	26.37% ( -0.03)	39.34% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.12)

51.95% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

0.1)

73.7% (

-0.1)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

0.03)

28.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

0.04)

64.69% (

-0.04)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

0.1)

25.88% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

0.13)

60.86% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

El Salvador 34.28%

USA 39.34%

Draw 26.37%

El Salvador	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.28%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.34%