Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.