International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2022 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Azadi Stadium
  • Morteza Pouraliganji 55' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 64'

Iran vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 5.00pm
Iran 1 - 0 Uruguay

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 6.00pm
Bolivia 0 - 2 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Iran 37.52% (-18.63)
Draw 23.08% (-0.07)
Senegal 39.4% (+18.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.02% (+12.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.74% (+11.19)
Under 2.5 36.26% (-11.19)
Over 3.5 41.62% (+11.28)
Under 3.5 58.38% (-11.28)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 80.21% (-3.09)
Under 0.5 19.79% (+3.09)
Over 1.5 48.14% (-5.25)
Under 1.5 51.85% (+5.25)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 81.07% (+18.22)
Under 0.5 18.93% (-18.23)
Over 1.5 49.56% (+23.50)
Under 1.5 50.44% (-23.51)

Score analysis

Iran 37.52%
Draw 23.08%
Senegal 39.4%
Iran
2-1 @ 8.18% (-1.66)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-5.04)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-5.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-1.45)
3-2 @ 3.68% (+0.78)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-3.28)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.84)
4-2 @ 1.49% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-1.58)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 37.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.90)
2-2 @ 6.81% (+1.94)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-2.47)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-93.86)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
Senegal
1-2 @ 8.41% (+2.97)
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.19% (+2.15)
1-3 @ 4.66% (+2.87)
2-3 @ 3.78% (+2.17)
0-3 @ 2.88% (+1.88)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-42.56)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-38.23)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-23.71)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 39.4%