International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Iran
1 - 1
Senegal

Pouraliganji (55' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Azmoun (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Iran and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iran 1-0 Uruguay
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	1	5
2	Portugal	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	0	4
4	Morocco	3	-2	1

Senegal

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Bolivia 0-2 Senegal
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	Senegal
37.52% ( -18.62)	23.08% ( -0.07)	39.4% ( 18.69)

Both teams to score 65.02% (

12.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74% (

11.18)

36.26% (

-11.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.62% (

11.27)

58.38% (

-11.28)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-3.08)

19.79% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

-5.25)

51.85% (

5.24)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

18.22)

18.93% (

-18.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

23.5)

50.44% (

-23.5)

Score Analysis

Iran 37.52%

Senegal 39.4%

Draw 23.08%

Iran	Draw	Senegal
2-1 @ 8.18% ( -1.66) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -5.03) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -5.02) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -1.45) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.77) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -3.27) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.84) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -1.58) Other @ 3.25% Total : 37.52%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 1.94) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -2.46) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 1.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( 2.96) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 2.15) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 2.87) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 2.17) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 1.88) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 1.5) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1.17) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.95) Other @ 3.54% Total : 39.4%