Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Iran had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	Uruguay
33.92% ( -0.17)	22.77% ( 0.01)	43.3% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 65.47% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.61% (

-0.12)

35.39% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.58% (

-0.14)

57.42% (

0.13)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

-0.14)

21.18% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.94% (

-0.22)

54.06% (

0.22)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.01)

16.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.02)

47.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Iran 33.92%

Uruguay 43.3%

Draw 22.77%

Iran	Draw	Uruguay
2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.3%