International Friendlies
Sep 23, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Azadi Stadium
  • Mehdi Taremi 79' goal

Iran vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 12, 2022 7.00pm
Iran 1 - 2 Algeria

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 11, 2022 9.00pm
Uruguay 0 - 0 Jamaica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Iran had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Iran 33.92% (-0.17)
Draw 22.77% (+0.02)
Uruguay 43.3% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.47% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.61% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 35.39% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 42.58% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 57.42% (+0.14)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 78.81% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 21.18% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.94% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 54.06% (+0.23)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 83.06% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 16.93% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.01% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Iran 33.92%
Draw 22.77%
Uruguay 43.3%
Iran
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 33.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.77%
Uruguay
1-2 @ 8.78% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.37% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 43.3%