International Friendly

Jun 11, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio Centenario

Uruguay
5 - 0
Panama

Cavani (39', 48' pen.), de la Cruz (58'), Gomez (68'), Rossi (77')
Torreira (49'), Ugarte (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nazario Cordoba Welch (33'), Tello Rojas (86')

Reaction

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates scoring their first goal on April 5, 2022

Darwin Nunez misses Uruguay game ahead of Liverpool move

Benfica striker Darwin Nunez was left out of Uruguay's international friendly with Panama on Saturday evening, amidst rumours of an agreed move to Liverpool this summer.

Jun 11, 22:56

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Uruguay and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Panama

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 5-0 Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Panama
60.58% ( 0.04)	22.6% ( 0)	16.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.33% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

-0.08)

50.67% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

-0.07)

72.58% (

0.07)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69% (

-0.02)

16.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.11% (

-0.03)

45.89% (

0.03)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.55% (

-0.09)

43.45% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.33% (

-0.08)

79.67% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 60.57%

Panama 16.83%

Draw 22.59%

Uruguay	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.83%