International Friendly

Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Ecuador
0 - 0
Iraq

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Iraq vs. Belgium
Tuesday, November 15 at 12am in International Friendlies

Ecuador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Qatar vs. Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ecuador	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Senegal	0	0	0
4	Qatar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Iraq
38.31% ( -0.05)	26.83% ( -0)	34.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.25% (

0.02)

53.74% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

0.01)

75.22% (

-0.02)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.02)

27.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-0.03)

62.72% (

0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.04)

29.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.05)

65.32% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 38.3%

Iraq 34.86%

Draw 26.83%

Ecuador	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.3%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.86%