Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.15%).