International Friendly

Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Lotto Park

Belgium
3 - 0
Burkina Faso

Vanaken (16'), Trossard (18'), Benteke (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bayala (32'), Guira (72'), Tapsoba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Belgium and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Burkina Faso

Last Six:

Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Togo
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Burkina Faso
64.4%	21.91%	13.69%

Both teams to score 42.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55%

53.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02%

74.98%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02%

15.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71%

45.28%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.47%

49.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67%

84.33%

Score Analysis

Belgium 64.39%

Burkina Faso 13.69%

Draw 21.9%

Belgium	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 14.51% 2-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 5.72% 4-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 64.39%	1-1 @ 10.19% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 5.56% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.69%