World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Millennium Stadium

Wales
1 - 1
Belgium

Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Wales	Draw	Belgium
33.53%	24.06%	42.41%

Both teams to score 60.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19%

41.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79%

64.21%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59%

24.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16%

58.84%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92%

52.08%

Score Analysis

Wales 33.53%

Belgium 42.41%

Draw 24.06%

Wales	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 7.8% 1-0 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 8.92% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.41%