Italy vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Italy had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Italy win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.