The Match
Team News
Spain boss Luis Enrique names Barcelona midfielder Gavi in his starting XI for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League semi-final against Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Italy and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Italy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Spain had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.46%), while for a Spain win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Spain |
| 43.56% | 31.47% | 24.96% |
| Both teams to score 35.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
