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Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Lithuania national football team

Italy
5 - 0
Lithuania

Kean (11', 29'), Utkus (14' og.), Raspadori (24'), Di Lorenzo (54')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Klimavicius (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how leaders Italy could line up for Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying Group C clash with winless Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 23.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.88%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.02%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawLithuania
69.8%23.37%6.84%
Both teams to score 21.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.51%70.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.46%87.55%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52%20.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.04%52.96%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.66%73.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.92%96.08%
Score Analysis
    Italy 69.79%
    Lithuania 6.84%
    Draw 23.37%
ItalyDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 23.81%
2-0 @ 18.88%
3-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 3.96%
3-1 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 69.79%
0-0 @ 15.02%
1-1 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 4.66%
1-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 6.84%

How you voted: Italy vs Lithuania

Italy
84.3%
Draw
7.2%
Lithuania
8.4%
83
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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