Sweden vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 37.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 31.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-0 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.