MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 09:10:06| >> :600:16334761:16334761:
Spain national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Poland national football team

Spain
1 - 1
Poland

Morata (25')
Torres (81'), Rodri (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (54')
Klich (36'), Moder (57'), Jozwiak (59'), Lewandowski (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Both sides still have qualification in their own hands

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Spain and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up in Saturday's Euro 2020 clash with Poland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Poland had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
SpainDrawPoland
53.25%23.96%22.79%
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55%48.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.58%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91%49.09%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3%35.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52%72.47%
Score Analysis
    Spain 53.25%
    Poland 22.79%
    Draw 23.95%
SpainDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 53.25%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Spain vs Poland

Spain
69.8%
Draw
15.2%
Poland
15.1%
724
rhs 2.0
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