World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Hungary national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Puskás Aréna
Poland national football team

Hungary
3 - 3
Poland

Sallai (6'), Szalai (53'), Orban (78')
Fiola (8'), Lang (73'), Nagy (80'), Szalai (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piatek (60'), Jozwiak (61'), Lewandowski (83')
Helik (34'), Bereszynski (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Hungary and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Hungary win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
HungaryDrawPoland
36.1%23.48%40.42%
Both teams to score 63.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58%38.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3%60.7%
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52%54.47%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61%19.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8%51.2%
Score Analysis
    Hungary 36.1%
    Poland 40.42%
    Draw 23.48%
HungaryDrawPoland
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-1 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 40.42%