/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
-
Kamil Grosicki
9'
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Kamil Grosicki
18'
-
Kamil Grosicki
38'
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Krzysztof Piatek
53'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
87'
-
Ilmari Niskanen
68'
Poland vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result
Poland
44.38%
Draw
26.23%
Finland
29.39%
Both Teams to Score:
51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5
47.14%
Under 2.5
52.86%
Over 3.5
25.52%
Under 3.5
74.48%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
76.29%
Under 0.5
23.71%
Over 1.5
42.17%
Under 1.5
57.84%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
67.38%
Under 0.5
32.62%
Over 1.5
30.84%
Under 1.5
69.16%
Score analysis
Poland
44.38%
Draw
26.23%
Finland
29.39%
Poland
1-0
@
11.13%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
Draw
1-1
@
12.47%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.23%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.23%
Finland
0-1
@
8.66%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.39%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.39%
