UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Wales national football team

Finland
0 - 1
Wales


Sparv (26'), Pukki (47'), Vaisanen (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moore (80')
Morrell (36'), Roberts (69'), Wilson (86'), Moore (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

The Dragons have now won three consecutive away games under Ryan Giggs.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and Wales, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Wales had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawWales
48.01%27.98%24%
Both teams to score 42.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.88%62.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.17%81.82%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.12%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74%42.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34%78.65%
Score Analysis
    Finland 48.01%
    Wales 24%
    Draw 27.96%
FinlandDrawWales
1-0 @ 14.81%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.49%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24%