UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Poland national football team

Netherlands
1 - 0
Poland

Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Poland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawPoland
51%25.6%23.4%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57%38.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82%75.18%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 51%
    Poland 23.4%
    Draw 25.59%
NetherlandsDrawPoland
1-0 @ 12.66%
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.4%

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