MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 22:00:35| >> :600:198126:198126:
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Poland national football team

Netherlands
1 - 0
Poland

Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Poland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawPoland
51%25.6%23.4%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57%38.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82%75.18%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 51%
    Poland 23.4%
    Draw 25.59%
NetherlandsDrawPoland
1-0 @ 12.66%
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.4%

Head to Head
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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