UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team

Poland
3 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Lewandowski (40', 52'), Linetty (45+1')
Klich (20'), Bednarek (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pjanic (15'), Kolasinac (44'), Hajradinovic (83')
Ahmedhodzic (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Poland and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
46.82%25.07%28.11%
Both teams to score 54.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19%48.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09%70.91%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12%20.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41%53.58%
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Score Analysis
    Poland 46.82%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.11%
    Draw 25.06%
PolandDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.11%