UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Energa Gdańsk

Poland
0 - 0
Italy

Bereszynski (35'), Kedziora (55')

Belotti (78'), Acerbi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Poland and Italy, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Poland had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Poland	Draw	Italy
22.52%	22.41%	55.06%

Both teams to score 57.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98%

42.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58%

64.42%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83%

15.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.22%

43.78%

Score Analysis

Poland 22.52%

Italy 55.06%

Draw 22.41%

Poland	Draw	Italy
2-1 @ 5.89% 1-0 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.52%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.73% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.49% 2-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.65% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.06%

Build-up

Italy's Stephan El Shaarawy celebrates scoring against Moldova in an international friendly on October 7, 2020

How Italy could line up against Poland

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Oct 9, 11:00