/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Bartosz Bereszynski
35'
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Tomasz Kedziora
55'
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Andrea Belotti
78'
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Francesco Acerbi
90'+1'
Poland vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F47%2Froberto-mancini.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F41%2Fitamol.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Poland had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result
Poland
22.52%
Draw
22.41%
Italy
55.06%
Both Teams to Score:
57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5
57.98%
Under 2.5
42.01%
Over 3.5
35.58%
Under 3.5
64.42%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
67.62%
Under 0.5
32.37%
Over 1.5
31.11%
Under 1.5
68.89%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
84.83%
Under 0.5
15.17%
Over 1.5
56.22%
Under 1.5
43.78%
Score analysis
Poland
22.52%
Draw
22.41%
Italy
55.06%
Poland
2-1
@
5.89%
1-0 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 22.52%
1-0 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 22.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.44%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.41%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.41%
Italy
1-2
@
9.85%
0-1 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.73%
1-3 @ 6.19%
0-3 @ 5.49%
2-3 @ 3.49%
1-4 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.06%
0-1 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.73%
1-3 @ 6.19%
0-3 @ 5.49%
2-3 @ 3.49%
1-4 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.06%
Cristiano Biraghi
90'