/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
-
Bryan Cristante
19'
-
Francesco Caputo
23'
-
Stephan El Shaarawy
30'
-
Veaceslav Posmac
38'
-
Stephan El Shaarawy
45'+1'
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Domenico Berardi
72'
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Catalin Carp
3'
-
Vadim Rata
77'
Italy vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F47%2Froberto-mancini.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fitabos.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 76.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
Result
Italy
76.86%
Draw
15.88%
Moldova
7.26%
Both Teams to Score:
37.9%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.89%
Under 2.5
46.11%
Over 3.5
31.59%
Under 3.5
68.41%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
89.85%
Under 0.5
10.15%
Over 1.5
66.63%
Under 1.5
33.37%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
42.18%
Under 0.5
57.82%
Over 1.5
10.5%
Under 1.5
89.5%
Score analysis
Italy
76.84%
Draw
15.88%
Moldova
7.26%
Italy
2-0
@
15.35%
1-0 @ 13.42%
3-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.41%
4-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-1 @ 3.67%
5-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.68%
6-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 76.84%
1-0 @ 13.42%
3-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.41%
4-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-1 @ 3.67%
5-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.68%
6-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 76.84%
Draw
1-1
@
7.36%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.88%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.88%
Moldova
0-1
@
3.22%
1-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 7.26%
1-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 7.26%