Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
| 57.38% | 22.4% | 20.21% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% | 44.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% | 15.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% | 44.19% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% | 36.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% | 72.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 57.38%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 20.21%
Draw 22.4%
| Italy | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.76% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.21% |


