Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2020

Bulgaria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Hungary national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 3
Hungary

Yomov (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orban (17'), Kalmar (47'), Nikolic (75')
Lang (55'), Gazdag (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path A playoff semi-final between Bulgaria and Hungary, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawHungary
34.21%26.36%39.43%
Both teams to score 52.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35%73.65%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15%28.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29%64.7%
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19%25.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24%60.76%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 34.21%
    Hungary 39.43%
    Draw 26.35%
BulgariaDrawHungary
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.43%

rhs 2.0


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