Wales vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.