UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Slavija

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Kraev (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (90+3')
Stevens (22')

Reaction

Republic of Ireland's Shane Duffy scores against Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League on September 3, 2020

Shane Duffy thanks Robbie Brady for handing him chance to redeem himself

The defender levelled from Robbie Brady's late corner in Sofia.

Sep 4, 08:10

Stephen Kenny pictured in charge of Republic of Ireland for the first time on September 3, 2020

Republic of Ireland boss Stephen Kenny: Bulgaria draw "was quite surreal"

Skipper Shane Duffy levelled in stoppage time in Sofia.

Sep 4, 07:48

The Match

Match Report

The Celtic defender struck in stoppage time in Sofia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Republic of Ireland
30.13%	28.13%	41.74%

Both teams to score 46.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35%

59.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03%

79.97%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.35%

35.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.58%

72.42%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.86%

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 30.12%

Republic of Ireland 41.74%

Draw 28.12%

Bulgaria	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.12%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 12.72% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.74%