Hungary

2 - 3

Russia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.