Russia

3 - 1

Serbia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.