/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
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Harry Kane
19'
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Harry Maguire
85'
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Arkadiusz Milik
46'
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Jakub Moder
58'
England vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F13%2Fengpol_1.JPG)
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Poland had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.
Result
England
56.35%
Draw
20.5%
Poland
23.15%
Both Teams to Score:
65.2%
Goals
Over 2.5
67.87%
Under 2.5
32.13%
Over 3.5
46.29%
Under 3.5
53.72%
England Goals
Over 0.5
88.51%
Under 0.5
11.5%
Over 1.5
63.64%
Under 1.5
36.37%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
73.67%
Under 0.5
26.33%
Over 1.5
38.54%
Under 1.5
61.47%
Score analysis
England
56.35%
Draw
20.5%
Poland
23.15%
England
2-1
@
9.45%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.81%
1-0 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.55%
4-1 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.35%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.81%
1-0 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.55%
4-1 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.35%
Draw
1-1
@
8.74%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.5%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.5%
Poland
1-2
@
5.83%
0-1 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 23.15%
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