World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
5 - 0
San Marino

Ward-Prowse (14'), Calvert-Lewin (21', 53'), Sterling (31'), Watkins (83')
Mings (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Reaction

England manager Gareth Southgate pictured on March 25, 2021

Gareth Southgate: 'We showed hunger and desire against San Marino'

James Ward-Prowse, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (2), Raheem Sterling and Ollie Watkins were on target.

Mar 25, 23:25

England's Jesse Lingard in action against San Marino on March 25, 2021

A look at Jesse Lingard's performance against San Marino

The 28-year-old played the full 90 minutes of the 5-0 victory.

Mar 25, 22:52

England's Dominic Calvert-Lewin takes a knee on March 25, 2021

England players take knee ahead of San Marino clash

Discussions about the gesture took place among the squad on the eve of the match.

Mar 25, 20:44

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 99.56%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 6-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (14.61%) and 7-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.18%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
England	Draw	San Marino
99.56%	0.4%	0.05%

Both teams to score 14.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

94.95%

5.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

86.98%

13.02%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.79%

0.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

98.48%

1.52%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

14.15%

85.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.05%

98.95%

Score Analysis

England 99.52%

San Marino 0.05%

Draw 0.4%

England	Draw	San Marino
6-0 @ 15.3% 5-0 @ 14.61% 7-0 @ 13.72% 4-0 @ 11.63% 8-0 @ 10.77% 9-0 @ 7.52% 3-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 3.54% 6-1 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 2.23% 7-1 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 8-1 @ 1.65% 9-1 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 1.13% 1-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.53% Total : 99.52%	Other @ 0.4% Total : 0.4%	Other @ 0.05% Total : 0.05%