UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

England national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Denmark national football team

England
0 - 1
Denmark


Maguire (5'), Henderson (85'), Phillips (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eriksen (35' pen.)
Christensen (38'), Hojbjerg (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Denmark ended England's two-year unbeaten home record.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between England and Denmark, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
EnglandDrawDenmark
48.28%24.63%27.08%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.8%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    England 48.28%
    Denmark 27.08%
    Draw 24.63%
EnglandDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.08%