Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Laugardalsvöllur
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 51' yellowcard
  • Hordur Magnusson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Runar Mar Sigurjonsson 45' (OG)
  • goal Christian Eriksen 46'
  • goal Robert Skov 61'

Iceland vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Belgium 5 - 1 Iceland

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Denmark 0 - 0 England

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result

Iceland 20.8%
Draw 25.41%
Denmark 53.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.86%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.88%
Under 2.5 56.12%
Over 3.5 22.81%
Under 3.5 77.19%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 57.97%
Under 0.5 42.03%
Over 1.5 21.54%
Under 1.5 78.46%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 79.11%
Under 0.5 20.89%
Over 1.5 46.39%
Under 1.5 53.61%

Score analysis

Iceland 20.8%
Draw 25.4%
Denmark 53.78%
Iceland
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-1 @ 5.17%
2-0 @ 3.3%
3-1 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.4%
Denmark
0-1 @ 13.74%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-3 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 4.87%
0-4 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.78%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2016 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thomas Delaney 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Jorgensen 50' goal
  • Nicolai Jorgensen 54' goal
  • yellowcard Hordur Magnusson 75'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 84'
  • goal Arnor Ingvi Traustason 90'