UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvöllur

Iceland
0 - 3
Denmark

Dadi Bodvarsson (51'), Magnusson (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mar Sigurjonsson (45' og.), Eriksen (46'), Skov (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Iceland and Denmark, including team news and predicted lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 16 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: Scotland 4-2 Denmark
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	9	16
2	Denmark	6	2	8
3	Serbia	6	-3	6
4	Switzerland	6	-8	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Denmark
20.8%	25.41%	53.79%

Both teams to score 45.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88%

56.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81%

77.19%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97%

42.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54%

78.46%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11%

20.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39%

53.61%

Score Analysis

Iceland 20.8%

Denmark 53.78%

Draw 25.4%

Iceland	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.17% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.8%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 13.74% 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.78%