/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
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Axel Witsel
13'
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Michy Batshuayi
17'
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Dries Mertens
50'
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Michy Batshuayi
69'
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Jeremy Doku
80'
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Holmbert Fridjonsson
11'
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Hjortur Hermannsson
12'
Belgium vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F22%2Froberto-martinez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 7.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Belgium
78.34%
Draw
14.29%
Iceland
7.37%
Both Teams to Score:
44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5
61.85%
Under 2.5
38.15%
Over 3.5
39.57%
Under 3.5
60.43%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
92.12%
Under 0.5
7.87%
Over 1.5
72.11%
Under 1.5
27.89%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
47.84%
Under 0.5
52.16%
Over 1.5
13.89%
Under 1.5
86.11%
Score analysis
Belgium
78.33%
Draw
14.29%
Iceland
7.37%
Belgium
2-0
@
13.26%
3-0 @ 11.24%
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 7.14%
4-1 @ 4.65%
5-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.36%
6-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 78.33%
3-0 @ 11.24%
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 7.14%
4-1 @ 4.65%
5-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.36%
6-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 78.33%
Draw
1-1
@
6.8%
0-0 @ 4.11%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 14.29%
0-0 @ 4.11%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 14.29%
Iceland
0-1
@
2.67%
1-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.37%
1-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.37%