UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Iceland national football team

Belgium
5 - 1
Iceland

Witsel (13'), Batshuayi (17', 69'), Mertens (50'), Doku (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fridjonsson (11')
Hermannsson (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Belgium and Iceland, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 7.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawIceland
78.34%14.29%7.37%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85%38.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.57%60.43%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.12%7.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.11%27.89%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.84%52.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.89%86.11%
Score Analysis
    Belgium 78.33%
    Iceland 7.37%
    Draw 14.29%
BelgiumDrawIceland
2-0 @ 13.26%
3-0 @ 11.24%
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 7.14%
4-1 @ 4.65%
5-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.36%
6-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 4.11%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 14.29%
0-1 @ 2.67%
1-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.37%

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