UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Iceland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 5, 2020 at 5pm UK
Laugardalsvöllur
England national football team

Iceland
0 - 1
England


Ingi Ingason (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sterling (90' pen.)
Walker (33'), Gomez (90+2')
Walker (71')

The Match

Match Report

Kyle Walker was sent off and Iceland missed their own late penalty.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Iceland and England, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how England could line up in Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Iceland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for England in this match.

Result
IcelandDrawEngland
23.9%25.31%50.79%
Both teams to score 49.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17%52.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55%74.45%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19%20.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52%53.48%
Score Analysis
    Iceland 23.9%
    England 50.79%
    Draw 25.3%
IcelandDrawEngland
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-1 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 23.9%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 12.12%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-3 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 50.79%