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Iceland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Romania national football team

Iceland
2 - 1
Romania

Sigurdsson (16', 35')
Sigurdsson (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maxim (62' pen.)
Maxim (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path A playoff semi final between Iceland and Romania, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
IcelandDrawRomania
24.72%26.94%48.34%
Both teams to score 46.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66%39.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95%76.05%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53%58.47%
Score Analysis
    Iceland 24.72%
    Romania 48.34%
    Draw 26.93%
IcelandDrawRomania
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 13.5%
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-3 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.34%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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