Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Declan Rice 32' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 39' goal
  • Mason Mount 65' goal
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 16'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 38'

England vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Denmark 0 - 0 England

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Belgium 5 - 1 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Belgium win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.

Result

England 53.67%
Draw 22.11%
Belgium 24.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.27%
Under 2.5 38.72%
Over 3.5 38.97%
Under 3.5 61.03%

England Goals

Over 0.5 85.51%
Under 0.5 14.49%
Over 1.5 57.52%
Under 1.5 42.47%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 70.86%
Under 0.5 29.13%
Over 1.5 34.93%
Under 1.5 65.07%

Score analysis

England 53.67%
Draw 22.11%
Belgium 24.22%
England
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 53.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.11%
Belgium
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

World Cup
Jul 14, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Krestovsky Stadium
  • Thomas Meunier 4' goal
  • Eden Hazard 82' goal
World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2018 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • goal Adnan Januzaj 51'

Build-up

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