Nations League
Sep 5, 2020 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Graeme Torilla 42' goal
  • Liam Walker 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicola Nanni 12'
  • yellowcard Davide Simoncini 64'

Gibraltar vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

San Marino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.

Result

Gibraltar 71.34%
Draw 17.66%
San Marino 11%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.95%
Under 2.5 42.05%
Over 3.5 35.54%
Under 3.5 64.46%

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 89.51%
Under 0.5 10.49%
Over 1.5 65.86%
Under 1.5 34.14%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 53.1%
Under 0.5 46.9%
Over 1.5 17.59%
Under 1.5 82.41%

Score analysis

Gibraltar 71.33%
Draw 17.66%
San Marino 11%
Gibraltar
2-0 @ 12.5%
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 7.12%
4-0 @ 5.3%
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.7%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 71.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4%
0-0 @ 4.92%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.66%
San Marino
0-1 @ 3.72%
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 11%