/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
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Emil Forsberg
2'
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Marcus Danielsson
10'
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Emil Forsberg
59'
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Viktor Claesson
90'+4'
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Robert Lewandowski
61'
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Grzegorz Krychowiak
74'
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Kamil Glik
83'
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Robert Lewandowski
84'
Sweden vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F24%2Fjanne-andersson.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F25%2Fswepol.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F24%2Fsweslo.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F24%2Fpaulo-sousa.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
Result
Sweden
42.74%
Draw
24.59%
Poland
32.66%
Both Teams to Score:
58.31%
Goals
Over 2.5
55.43%
Under 2.5
44.56%
Over 3.5
33.07%
Under 3.5
66.93%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
79.06%
Under 0.5
20.93%
Over 1.5
46.33%
Under 1.5
53.67%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
73.75%
Under 0.5
26.25%
Over 1.5
38.64%
Under 1.5
61.35%
Score analysis
Sweden
42.74%
Draw
24.59%
Poland
32.66%
Sweden
2-1
@
8.99%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.74%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.74%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
Poland
1-2
@
7.69%
0-1 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.66%
0-1 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.66%
Build-up
Predicted Lineups