European Championship
Italy
Jul 6, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Wembley Stadium
Spain
  • Federico Chiesa 60' goal
  • Rafael Toloi 97' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bonucci 118' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 51'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 80'

Italy vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%).

Result

Italy 42.31%
Draw 28.24%
Spain 29.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.63%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.75%
Under 2.5 60.25%
Over 3.5 19.57%
Under 3.5 80.43%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 71.85%
Under 0.5 28.15%
Over 1.5 36.17%
Under 1.5 63.83%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 63.5%
Under 0.5 36.5%
Over 1.5 26.71%
Under 1.5 73.29%

Score analysis

Italy 42.31%
Draw 28.23%
Spain 29.45%
Italy
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.23%
Spain
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.45%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Spain
Sep 2, 2017 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Italy
  • Isco 13' goal
  • Isco 40' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 77' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Italy
Oct 6, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Spain
  • Daniele De Rossi 82' goal
  • goal Vitolo 55'
European Championship
Italy
Jun 27, 2016 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de France
Spain
  • Mattia De Sciglio 24' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Chiellini 33' goal
  • Graziano Pelle 54' yellowcard
  • Thiago Motta 89' yellowcard
  • Graziano Pelle 91' goal
  • yellowcard Nolito 41'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 89'
  • yellowcard David Silva 94'
International Friendlies
Italy
Mar 24, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Spain
  • Thiago Motta 45' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 68' goal
  • Marco Parolo 69' yellowcard
  • goal Aritz Aduriz 70'
  • yellowcard Gerard Pique 74'
  • yellowcard Cesc Fabregas 82'
International Friendlies
Spain
Mar 5, 2014 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Italy
  • Pedro 63' goal
  • yellowcard Domenico Criscito 43'
  • yellowcard Mattia Destro 75'
Confederations Cup
Spain
Jun 27, 2013 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Italy

Form Data

Belgium 1 - 2 Italy
Italy 2 - 1 Austria
Italy 1 - 0 Wales
Italy 3 - 0 Switzerland
Turkey 0 - 3 Italy
Italy 4 - 0 Czech Republic
Switzerland 1 - 1 Spain
Croatia 3 - 5 Spain
Slovakia 0 - 5 Spain
Spain 1 - 1 Poland
Spain 0 - 0 Sweden
Spain 4 - 0 Lithuania

Build-up

Predicted Lineups