Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Italy
3 - 0
Switzerland

Locatelli (26', 52'), Immobile (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gavranovic (49'), Embolo (79')

Reaction

Italy head coach Roberto Mancini pictured on June 4, 2021

Roberto Mancini: 'We can win Euro 2020'

Manuel Locatelli's double and Ciro Immobile's late strike sealed a dominant 3-0 win over Switzerland in Rome.

Jun 16, 22:14

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Switzerland
57.39%	25.15%	17.45%

Both teams to score 41.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95%

59.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.5%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84%

53.16%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.36%

47.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.04%

82.96%

Score Analysis

Italy 57.38%

Switzerland 17.45%

Draw 25.15%

Italy	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 15.5% 2-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4.78% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.13% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.45%