European Championship
Jun 16, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Manuel Locatelli 26' goal
  • Manuel Locatelli 52' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Gavranovic 49'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 79'

Italy vs Switzerland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 11, 2021 8.00pm
Turkey 0 - 3 Italy

Switzerland

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 12, 2021 2.00pm
Wales 1 - 1 Switzerland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result

Italy 57.39%
Draw 25.15%
Switzerland 17.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.57%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.95%
Under 2.5 59.04%
Over 3.5 20.49%
Under 3.5 79.5%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 79.39%
Under 0.5 20.61%
Over 1.5 46.84%
Under 1.5 53.16%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5 52.36%
Under 0.5 47.63%
Over 1.5 17.04%
Under 1.5 82.96%

Score analysis

Italy 57.38%
Draw 25.15%
Switzerland 17.45%
Italy
1-0 @ 15.5%
2-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 4.78%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.15%
Switzerland
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.45%

Build-up

Predicted Lineups