/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Georgi Kostadinov
57'
-
Antonio Vutov
58'
-
Vasil Bozhikov
59'
-
Andrea Belotti
43'
-
Manuel Locatelli
83'
-
Manuel Locatelli
84'
-
Federico Bernardeschi
89'
Bulgaria vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitani.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitanir.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.
Result
Bulgaria
9.53%
Draw
15.2%
Italy
75.27%
Both Teams to Score:
51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.36%
Under 2.5
34.64%
Over 3.5
43.41%
Under 3.5
56.59%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
55.3%
Under 0.5
44.7%
Over 1.5
19.3%
Under 1.5
80.69%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
92.28%
Under 0.5
7.72%
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Score analysis
Bulgaria
9.53%
Draw
15.2%
Italy
75.27%
Bulgaria
2-1
@
2.87%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 9.53%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 9.53%
Draw
1-1
@
7.12%
2-2 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 15.2%
2-2 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 15.2%
Italy
0-2
@
11.32%
0-3 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 4.99%
0-5 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 75.27%
0-3 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 4.99%
0-5 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 75.27%
