Nations League
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Lorenzo Pellegrini
16'
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Marco Verratti
23'
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Danilo D'Ambrosio
80'
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Moise Kean
90'+3'
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Donny van de Beek
25'
Italy vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result
Italy
45.16%
Draw
23.81%
Netherlands
31.02%
Both Teams to Score:
60.33%
Goals
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
81.33%
Under 0.5
18.67%
Over 1.5
50%
Under 1.5
50%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5
74.17%
Under 0.5
25.82%
Over 1.5
39.21%
Under 1.5
60.79%
Score analysis
Italy
45.16%
Draw
23.81%
Netherlands
31.02%
Italy
2-1
@
9.19%
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.16%
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.16%
Draw
1-1
@
10.95%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
Netherlands
1-2
@
7.42%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 31.02%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 31.02%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Joel Veltman
69'
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
84'
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Memphis Depay
90'+5'
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Danilo D'Ambrosio
23'
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Nicolo Barella
45'+1'
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Bryan Cristante
84'
-
Giorgio Chiellini
88'
International Friendlies
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Simone Zaza
67'
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Domenico Criscito
69'
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Federico Chiesa
75'
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Simone Zaza
89'
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Marten de Roon
28'
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Ruud Vormer
43'
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Nathan Ake
88'
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Daryl Janmaat
90'
International Friendlies
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Alessio Romagnoli
10'
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Eder
11'
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Leonardo Bonucci
32'
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Daniele Rugani
48'
International Friendlies
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Ciro Immobile
3'
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Danielle De Rossi
10'
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Marco Verratti
74'
-
Bruno Martins Indi
9'
European Under-21s Championship
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Fabio Borini
0'