Netherlands national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Mexico national football team

Netherlands
0 - 1
Mexico


Wijndal (58'), Stengs (78'), Veltman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jimenez (60' pen.)
Herrera (55'), dos Santos (68'), Araujo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Netherlands and Mexico, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's international friendly against Mexico.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawMexico
45.19%25.58%29.22%
Both teams to score 53.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67%50.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73%72.27%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33%55.67%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19%67.81%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 45.18%
    Mexico 29.22%
    Draw 25.58%
NetherlandsDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.22%

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