UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Bulgaria national football team

Finland
2 - 0
Bulgaria

Taylor (52'), Jensen (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and Bulgaria, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
FinlandDrawBulgaria
57.63%23.7%18.67%
Both teams to score 47.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7%52.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07%17.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25%48.75%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82%42.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.59%
Score Analysis
    Finland 57.61%
    Bulgaria 18.67%
    Draw 23.7%
FinlandDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 57.61%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.67%