Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Taylor 52' goal
  • Fredrik Jensen 67' goal

Finland vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2020 5.00pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 1 Finland

Bulgaria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2020 2.00pm
Wales 1 - 0 Bulgaria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result

Finland 57.63%
Draw 23.7%
Bulgaria 18.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.7%
Under 2.5 52.3%
Over 3.5 26.01%
Under 3.5 73.99%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 82.07%
Under 0.5 17.93%
Over 1.5 51.25%
Under 1.5 48.75%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5 57.82%
Under 0.5 42.18%
Over 1.5 21.41%
Under 1.5 78.59%

Score analysis

Finland 57.61%
Draw 23.7%
Bulgaria 18.67%
Finland
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.7%
Bulgaria
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.67%