World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Italy
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Chiesa (16')
Barella (26'), Toloi (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Iliev (39')
Yomov (31'), Nedyalkov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Bulgaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 27.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.6%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.91%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Italy	Draw	Bulgaria
68.85%	25.57%	5.57%

Both teams to score 15.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

23.35%

76.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

8.8%

91.2%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29%

23.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17%

57.82%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

20.18%

79.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.19%

97.81%

Score Analysis

Italy 68.84%

Bulgaria 5.57%

Draw 25.57%

Italy	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 27.23% 2-0 @ 19.6% 3-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 4.42% 4-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.71% Total : 68.84%	0-0 @ 18.91% 1-1 @ 6.14% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 4.27% Other @ 1.31% Total : 5.57%