Italy vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Italy had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%).