Euro 2020

European Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Rome

Ukraine
0 - 4
England

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (4', 50'), Maguire (46'), Henderson (63')

Reaction

England duo Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw celebrate against Ukraine at Euro 2020 on July 3, 2021

Luke Shaw thanks Gareth Southgate for trusting him

Luke Shaw set up two of England's four goals in Rome, days after playing a key role in both of the Three Lions' strikes against Germany.

Jul 4, 11:14

England manager Gareth Southgate celebrates after the match on June 13, 2021

Gareth Southgate praises spirit in England squad

The Three Lions beat Ukraine 4-0 to reach the European Championship semi-finals.

Jul 4, 11:12

Denmark's Thomas Delaney celebrates scoring their first goal against the Czech Republic at Euro 2020 on July 3, 2021

Mason Mount: 'Denmark will be coming into the lion's den'

England set up a last four-meeting with a 4-0 win over Ukraine.

Jul 4, 08:14

Neil Maddison hails Gareth Southgate's man-management skills

England face Denmark in the last four of Euro 2020 on Wednesday evening.

Jul 4, 08:12

Jordan Henderson celebrates scoring for England against Ukraine at Euro 2020 on July 3, 2021

Jordan Henderson: 'We are ready to take the next step'

The Three Lions are in the semi-finals of another major tournament.

Jul 4, 08:12

Harry Kane to use 2018 World Cup hurt as motivation for Euro semi-final

England face Denmark in the Euro 2020 semi-final.

Jul 3, 23:00

Gareth Southgate: 'England are back on the football map'

The Three Lions are into the semi-finals of Euro 2020.

Jul 3, 22:59

England's Harry Maguire pictured in action against Germany at Euro 2020 on June 29, 2021

Harry Maguire: 'England cannot stop here'

Harry Maguire scored in Rome to help England beat Ukraine in the Euro 2020 quarter-finals.

Jul 3, 22:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	England
20.11%	23.16%	56.73%

Both teams to score 51.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.75%

48.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.6%

70.4%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.77%

38.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.01%

75%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25%

46.76%

Score Analysis

Ukraine 20.11%

England 56.72%

Draw 23.16%

Ukraine	Draw	England
1-0 @ 6.17% 2-1 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.11%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 1% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 11.45% 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 5.84% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 0.97% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.02% Total : 56.72%